Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 16.419932 18.601378 21.038357 23.976336 27.440407 31.417068 36.359523
2025-10-12 13.858975 16.739683 20.228660 24.816681 30.767758 38.333517 48.856098
2025-10-19 11.798988 14.838126 18.713668 24.108839 31.572528 41.761068 57.132804
2025-10-26 10.857293 14.132909 18.500130 24.892946 34.265489 47.929283 70.205317
2025-11-02 9.779335 13.075585 17.626398 24.560286 35.217467 51.626471 80.207502
2025-11-09 8.878995 12.144967 16.790509 24.118930 35.860731 54.848278 89.993647
2025-11-16 8.173205 11.409463 16.138053 23.837510 36.657461 58.367176 100.971240
2025-11-23 7.481518 10.624353 15.322010 23.181230 36.710740 60.571549 109.923461
2025-11-30 6.999834 10.108955 14.861657 23.030753 37.574759 64.313743 122.738956
2025-12-07 6.395557 9.354699 13.956006 22.030637 36.786517 64.816426 128.813454
2025-12-14 5.814404 8.594675 12.979483 20.808679 35.434072 64.000357 131.747339
2025-12-21 5.435607 8.130277 12.448393 20.311535 35.374378 65.757238 141.097525
2025-12-28 5.618629 8.599679 13.528198 22.858850 41.657594 82.150080 192.379885
2026-01-04 5.476892 8.520131 13.664375 23.679965 44.616555 91.978412 230.496845
2026-01-11 5.116353 8.042716 13.060648 23.009731 44.317263 94.118325 247.066672
2026-01-18 4.996007 7.968770 13.169521 23.749785 47.206877 104.688003 294.474829
2026-01-25 4.738634 7.636582 12.779224 23.435915 47.661940 109.126944 323.416185
2026-02-01 4.489445 7.302864 12.360569 23.019418 47.816815 112.805601 351.417394
2026-02-08 4.279398 7.026461 12.029424 22.753793 48.297192 117.513800 385.832533
2026-02-15 4.042608 6.687578 11.555219 22.134180 47.819087 119.361269 409.630239
2026-02-22 3.879074 6.474127 11.309445 21.992077 48.532932 124.970723 453.084071
2026-03-01 3.636659 6.101264 10.727224 21.047289 47.042213 123.429883 462.843628
2026-03-08 3.386718 5.703107 10.073646 19.892145 44.869547 119.344691 458.726626